身为Carpatcement控股总经理的Mihai Rohan说：“虽然去年水泥工业持续有所增长，但是其仅仅6.4%的增长率比起2007年24%的创纪录的增长率来说，还是下降了很多。水泥消费量增长了12％。2009年我们将看到水泥市场处于停滞。”
在短期内，由于住房市场的停滞，将导致水泥生产的明显减少。开发商将致力于完成已开始项目，只有当真正的而不是潜在的客户出现时新项目才会开始。罗马尼亚水泥及矿物制品联合会主席认为，基础设施和农工业工程将继续是建材行业重要的发展动力，但是如果无法获得欧洲提供的资金，仍将面临资金周转问题。但也有估计表明2009年将比2008年增长0.2％。
至于水泥销售价格，Mihai Rohan说，将由成本和需求与供给在特定时期的关系决定。生产成本的改变，比如原料、能源、燃料、运输，和财政产生的影响，如汇率对于价格的重大影响。Carpatcement控股总经理说：“比起2007年的公布价格，2008年增长了10—15％。2008年我们没有提高价格。”
2008年由于生产、销售和营销费用的增加，以及列伊对欧元汇率的改变，还有对罗马尼亚经济中不同工业和市场的关键影响，导致水泥价格有所上涨。今年水泥市场的发展将取决于罗马尼亚国民经济总体的发展。其中罗马尼亚经济和新政府对基础设施项目的预算政策将起到重要作用。罗马尼亚水泥市场主要有三大主导水泥生产商：法国拉法基，德国海德堡水泥和瑞士豪西蒙。
附英文：
Cement market in Romania will stagnate in 2009
The cement market in Romania will stagnate in 2009, because the lack of liquidities and difficult access to financing will have an important impact on consumption, the president of CIROM, Mihai Rohan said.Last year the overall cement production was of 10,703,000 tons, on the rise by 6.4% against 2007, according to CIROM. Domestic deliveries were of 10,588,000 tons in 2008, 8.6% higher than in 2007. In 2005 the cement consumption was 292 kg/capita, in 2006 362 kg/capita, in 2007 461 kg/capita and in 2008 it reached 516 kg/capita. “Last year the cement industry continued a rising rate but the increase was more reduced. While in 2007 the cement production registere d a record increase of 24% in 2008 the growth was only 6.4%. The cement consumption grew by 12%. In 2009 we will witness a stagnation in the cement market,” said Mihai Rohan, the general director of Carpatcement Holding.
On the short term, there will be an activity reduction because of the stagnation of the residential sector. Developers will concentrate on the completion of already begun projects while new projects will begin only when real not potential clients are found. The president of CIROM considers that infrastructure and agro-industrial works will continue to be important engines for the building material industry but there could be liquidity problems if European funds cannot be accessed. However there are estimates indicating a 0.2% increase in 2009 against 2008.
As for the cement sales price, Rohan said it was determined by costs and the report between demand and offer at a certain moment. The evolution of production costs, such as raw materials, energy, fuel, transport and resulting financial influences like the exchange rate will have a significant impact on prices. “Compared to 2007 list prices of 2008 grew by 10-15% . In 2008 we did not increase list prices,” said the director of Carpatcement Holding.
Cement price rises in 2008 were determined by the evolution of production, sales and marketing costs, of the leu/euro expchange rate and the crisis effects on different industries and markets in the Romanian economy. The evolution of the cement market this year will depend on the evolution of the national economy in general. An important role is held by the Romanian economic and budget policy of the new government about infrastructure projects. The local cement market is dominated by three large producers: Lafarge (France), Heidelberg Cement (Germany) and Holcim (Switzerland)
